AN INVESTIGATION OF HERDING BEHAVIOR IN TURKISH MUTUAL FUND INDUSTRY

The MUTUAL FUND INDUSTRY

Does herding behavior reveal skill? An analysis of mutual fund performance

This paper …nds that fund herding, de…ned as the tendency of a mutual fund to follow past aggregate institutional trades, is an important predictor of mutual fund performance. Examining actively managed U.S. equity mutual funds over the period 1990-2009, we …nd that funds with a higher herding tendency achieve lower future returns. The performance gap between herding and antiherding funds is pe...

Risk Behavior and Performance Benchmarks in the Mutual Fund Industry

The determinants of risk tolerance play an essential role in asset pricing. In this paper, I develop and test empirically a behavioral model of investor risk strategies. Difficulty in quantifying many of the elements of behavioral theories has so far necessitated experimental, rather than empirical, evaluation of most such models. Therefore, the methodology employed in this paper – testing a be...

Analyst Recommendations, Mutual Fund Herding, and Overreaction in Stock Prices

This paper documents the tendency of mutual fund managers to follow analyst recommendation revisions when they trade stocks, and the impact of analyst revisioninduced mutual fund “herds” on stock prices. We find that mutual fund herds follow consensus revisions in analyst recommendations, controlling for common investment signals that affect both analyst revisions and mutual fund trading. Conse...

Measuring Skill in the Mutual Fund Industry∗

Using the dollar-value that a mutual fund adds as the measure of skill, we find that the average mutual fund adds about $2 million per year and that this skill persists for as long as 10 years. We further document that investors recognize this skill and reward it by investing more capital with better funds. Better funds earn higher aggregate fees, and there is a strong positive correlation betw...